Session: Statistics & Modelling (AFS 142nd Annual Meeting)

8:00 AM

T-13-1

An Evaluation of Natural Mortality Assumptions in Stock Assessments
Jonathan J. Deroba, National Marine Fisheries Service; Amy M. Schueller, National Marine Fisheries Service

8:15 AM

T-13-2

Estimation of Time-Varying Instantaneous Total Mortality Rate Based on the Age-Structured Abundance Index
Yingbin Wang, Zhejiang Ocean University; Yan Jiao, Virginia Tech

8:30 AM

T-13-3

Review of the Gulf of Mexico Golden Tilefish Stock Assessment: Data Inputs and Model Comparison
Linda Lombardi, NOAA Fisheries Service; Mike Allen, University of Florida; William Pine III, University of Florida; Carl Walters, University of British Columbia

8:45 AM

T-13-4

Comparison of Statistical Catch-At-Age and Brownie Model Stock Assessment Methods for Saginaw Bay Walleyes
David Fielder, Quantitative Fisheries Center; James Bence, Quantitative Fisheries Center

9:00 AM

T-13-5

The Utility of Uncertain Historical Data When Assessing Stock Status
Amy Tillman, Virginia Tech; Jim Berkson, National Marine Fisheries Service, SEFSC, RTR Unit at the University of Florida; Robert Ahrens, University of Florida

9:15 AM

T-13-6

Estimated Life History of An Endangered Chinook Salmon Population and Its Implications for Population Viability
Arliss Winship, University of California, Santa Cruz; Michael O'Farrell, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service; Michael Mohr, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service

9:30 AM

T-13-7

Integrated Modeling of Brook Trout Growth, Movement and Population Dynamics
Paul Schueller, University of Massachusetts - Amherst; Michael Morrissey, University of St. Andrews; Krzysztof Sakrejda, University of Massachusetts - Amherst; Keith H. Nislow, U.S.D.A. Forest Service; Benjamin Letcher, U.S. Geological Survey

9:45 AM

T-13-8

Tuesday AM Break

10:15 AM

T-13-9

Estimating Uncertainty in Stock Management Reference Points for Chesapeake Bay Blue Crabs
Danielle R. Zaveta, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science; Michael J. Wilberg, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science; Thomas J. Miller, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science

10:30 AM

T-13-10

Identifying 120 Years of Decline in Ecosystem Structure and Maturity of Great South Bay, New York Using the Ecopath Modelling Approach
Matthew Nuttall, University of Miami; Michael G. Frisk, Stony Brook University; Adrian Jordaan, Stony Brook University; Robert M. Cerrato, Stony Brook University

10:45 AM

T-13-11

Does Overfishing Exacerbate Florida's Red Tide Effects? A Trophodynamic Approach to Study How the West Florida Shelf Ecosystem Responds to Harmful Algal Bloom Events
Alisha Gray, University of South Florida's College of Marine Science; Cameron Ainsworth, University of South Florida

11:00 AM

T-13-12

A Study of Surfclam Larval Transport and Survival in the Middle Atlantic Bight Using a Coupled Physical-Biological Model
Xinzhong (Peter) Zhang, Rutgers University; Eric Powell, Rutgers University; Dale Haidvogel, Rutgers University; John Klinck, Old Dominion University; Roger Mann, Virginia Institute of Marine Science

11:15 AM

T-13-13

Performance of Mixed-Stock Management Strategies Aimed At Meeting Bi-National Objectives for the Yukon River Fall Chum Salmon Fishery
Matthew J. Catalano, Quantitative Fisheries Center, Michigan State University; Michael L. Jones, Michigan State University

11:30 AM

T-13-14

Explore the Inter- and Intra-Stock Dynamics of Atlantic Salmon Using Nonlinear Forecasting
Hui-Yu Wang, National Taiwan University; Chih-hao Hsieh, National Taiwan University; George Sugihara, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD; A. Jamie F. Gibson, Department of Fisheries and Oceans; Francis Juanes, University of Victoria

11:45 AM

T-13-15

Incorporating Climate Variation into Salmon Forecasts – Do Better Forecasts Improve Management?
Tom Wainwright, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center; David Rupp, Oregon State University; Pete Lawson, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center

12:00 PM

T-13-16

Tuesday Lunch

1:15 PM

T-13-17

How Much Influence Can the Selection of Statistic Estimator Have on Fisheries Stock Assessment: A Case Study in Hammerhead Shark Stock Assessment
Irene Ballesta-Artero, Virginia Tech; Yan Jiao, Virginia Tech

1:30 PM

T-13-18

Recommendations for Catch-Curve Analysis
Matthew Smith, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William and Mary; Amy Then, Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences, College of William & Mary; Catarina Wor, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William & Mary; Gina Ralph, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William & Mary; Kenneth H. Pollock, Murdoch University; John Hoenig, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, College of William & Mary

1:45 PM

T-13-19

Comparing Techniques for Predicting Spatially-Specific Larval Sea Lamprey Density in a Large River
Jason M. Robinson, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Chesapeake Biological Laboratory ; Michael J. Wilberg, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science; Jean V. Adams, U. S. Geological Survey; Michael L. Jones, Michigan State University

2:00 PM

T-13-20

A Geographically-Weighted Regression Model to Predict Oyster Density Hotspots in the Chesapeake Bay Region
Elizabeth Methratta, Versar; Ward Slacum, Versar

Effects of Sample Size and Species Response Shape on the Performance of Different Species Distribution Models: A Simulation Study (Withdrawn)

2:15 PM

T-13-21

Modeling the Secondary Spread of Viral Hemorrhagic Septicemia Virus (VHSV) Via Commercial Shipping in the Laurentian Great Lakes
Jennifer Sieracki, University of Toledo; Jonathan M. Bossenbroek, University of Toledo; Mohamed Faisal, Michigan State University

2:30 PM

T-13-22

Cancelled Paper